Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 106.658106 121.187474 137.202618 156.203670 178.182112 202.863702 232.762000
2026-01-11 84.941174 103.698406 126.089546 154.936337 191.326919 235.986545 295.369866
2026-01-18 74.042675 95.155490 121.847743 158.370448 207.507112 271.979617 364.057594
2026-01-25 65.051766 87.064545 116.194324 158.030649 217.341474 299.567906 424.218596
2026-02-01 58.825943 81.523759 112.765973 159.569284 229.046708 330.193157 491.967156
2026-02-08 52.585424 75.073870 107.089297 156.830282 233.687781 350.488513 546.404975
2026-02-15 48.498840 71.170890 104.474685 158.011919 243.921240 379.918999 618.698487
2026-02-22 45.179859 67.998300 102.499675 159.746491 254.913607 411.477422 698.575754
2026-03-01 41.071032 63.182106 97.463217 155.940247 256.221244 426.916492 752.315216
2026-03-08 37.667738 59.140864 93.222792 152.891875 258.268566 443.548626 810.145295
2026-03-15 35.022507 56.070868 90.238281 151.575688 263.028570 465.288311 880.392213
2026-03-22 33.904878 55.402513 91.133512 156.999459 280.357982 511.921397 1006.273110
2026-03-29 32.138468 53.692680 90.449872 160.198597 295.251355 558.440881 1145.607529
2026-04-05 29.780971 50.776348 87.437391 158.894719 301.615152 589.694038 1259.746658
2026-04-12 28.386686 49.416258 87.038645 162.426794 317.924144 643.530949 1434.893517
2026-04-19 26.606393 47.182991 84.801242 162.077287 326.171492 681.445726 1580.427917
2026-04-26 25.248385 45.600780 83.615521 163.659894 338.648863 730.460907 1763.303840
2026-05-03 23.499641 43.124406 80.473640 160.842650 341.112435 756.983028 1894.157328
2026-05-10 22.364564 41.729839 79.315013 162.058022 352.756283 806.864566 2098.276910
2026-05-17 21.383618 40.551177 78.471686 163.842169 365.929458 862.542319 2331.327741
2026-05-24 19.921544 38.291432 75.218945 159.927224 365.012444 882.595856 2465.468438
2026-05-31 18.658755 36.339320 72.440637 156.792016 365.596625 906.659546 2617.479941
2026-06-07 17.658781 34.852931 70.521606 155.438398 370.467223 942.976576 2816.820525